AML, ABAC, Counter-Terrorism Funding, Financial Sanctions, and Threat Assessments

 

Authors' note: The underlying non-shared and non-disclosed information on which all contributions are based is restricted and sensitive and NOT reported on this OSINT platform. This does not apply to the specific named open sources. 

Intelligence and post monitoring is not always enough and sometimes too little too late. 

Premonitoring is the 21st Century key asset.


The transition of counter Financial Crime

Premonitoring instead of post monitoring


From reaction to prediction using analytics, intelligence flows, and techniques based on a Risk Mitigation Escalation Artificial and Financial Intelligence (AI-FININT) model

A mixture of financial, legal, and human intelligence gathering, investigations, and reputational risk mitigative measures in line with government and business needs and objectives 


Updates 2026:

 

Current affairs

Ongoing case files 2017 - 2026:

Threat assessment Turkey-Pakistan: nuclear cooperation
Threat assessment Afghanistan: a new geopolitical spectrum
Threat assessment Iran/Turkey/Pakistan-China: illicit trade and money flows
Threat assessment Armenia-Azerbeidjan:  Artsakh War 2020 and aftermath 2023 


Financial Crime Pattern Analysis: EMEA 
Financial Black Box: clearing and monitoring 
Project MERCURIUS: Financial reconnaissance premonitoring


Updates about the Russian Federation

 MOSCOW, October 14. /TASS/. The FSB of Russia opened a criminal case on the creation of a terrorist community or participation in it against the former head of Yukos Mikhail Khodorkovsky (recognized in the Russian Federation as a foreign agent), and 22 members of the so-called “Anti-War Committee of Russia” (AKR). This was reported by TASS in the Center for Public Relations (TSOS) of the FSB of Russia.  “The Federal Security Service of the Russian Federation opened a criminal case under Article 278 of the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation (violent seizure of power or forcible detention of power) and Part 1 and Part 2 of Articles. 205.4 of the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation (organization of a terrorist community and participation in it) against the former head of the company Yukos Mikhail Khodorkovsky and members of the "Anti-War Committee of Russia" (Mikhail Kasyanov, Marat Gelman, Leonid Gozman, Vladimir Kara-Murza, Sergey Aleksashenko, Dmitry Gudkov, Sergey Gudkov, Boris, Zimin, Evgeny Chichvarkin, Evgeny Kiselev TASS) and other unidentified persons”, – reported in the MCC of the FSB. Marat Gelman, Leonid Gozman, Vladimir Kara-Murza, Anastasia Shevchenko, and Garry Kasparov are included in the list of terrorists and extremists of Rosfinmonitoring Russian FIU. In addition, a criminal case has also been initiated against Mikhail Khodorkovsky under Part 2 of Article. 205.2 of the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation (public calls for terrorist activities). The article on the organization of a terrorist community faces punishment before life imprisonment, under the article for the forced seizure of power is provided for up to 20 years, for participation in a terrorist community up to 15 years. Thus, on April 30, 2023, AKR in Berlin (Germany) adopted the constituent (statutory) traffic document - the so-called. The Berlin Declaration, which states the need to liquidate the current Russian authorities. In October 2025, with the participation of the movement in the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe (PACE), the so-called platform of the Russian democratic forces was created, which is positioned by M. Khodorkovsky before Western countries as a “constituent meeting of the transition period” and an alternative to the authorities of the Russian Federation”, – noted in the FSB. The FSB recalled that Khodorkovsky and other founders of AKR are financing Ukrainian military-owned nationalist units recognized in the Russian Federation, as well as recruiting activities to recruit individuals in these formations for the subsequent implementation of the plan to seize power in the Russian Federation by force.
"Act, investigative actions against M. are currently underway. Khodorkovsky and his accomplices. Persons involved in their activities will be held accountable in accordance with Russian law," the CDC said.   The movement "Anti-War Committee of Russia" was established in February 2022. Its goal is the forced seizure of power and the change of the constitutional order in the Russian Federation. On January 22, 2024, the organization’s activities were recognized as undesirable on the territory of the Russian Federation.  https://tass.ru/proisshestviya/25336229 
 

https://smotrim.ru/video/3052911 Фильм-расследование Аркадия Мамонтова. Часть 1
29 ноября 2025, 14:16
Против иноагента Михаила Ходорковского, внесенного Росфинмониторингом еще и в список террористов и экстремистов, ФСБ России возбудила дело о публичных призывах к террористической деятельности. Проживающий в Лондоне Ходорковский и его подельники, стремясь организовать насильственное свержение власти в РФ, создали структуру "Антивоенный комитет России". В эфире "России 24" – новое документальное расследование Аркадия Мамонтова. Как бывший член КПСС, давший клятву бороться за коммунистическое будущее страны, стал крупнейшим олигархом в России, государственные активы скупались за копейки через подставные фирмы, нефтяная компания "ЮКОС" была фактически присвоена кучкой предприимчивых дельцов, а украденные у россиян миллиарды превращались в элитную недвижимость в США и на Лазурном берегу Франции? Журналисты взяли эксклюзивное интервью у следователя финансовой разведки Нидерландов в отставке Роберта Деккера, который отследил международные связи Ходорковского с американскими банками и британским кланом Ротшильдов. 

 

Current affairs of the Southern Caucasus

According to geopolitical shifts, observations, and sources, there are opportunities for the region.
Bearing in mind that no value judgement is made here, only a reversal of possible developments. An open mindset. 

 The Great Game started by the end of World War I is still ongoing, and the Caucasus has a key position. 
 
See the parallel (1920 and 2026) of a coded telegram sent by the Turkish president Mustafa Kemal (aka Ataturk) to Kazim Karabekir, Commander-in-Chief of the Eastern Front Army on Feb. 5, 1920, instructing him to make preparations to attack Armenia. 

“There is no doubt that the ceasefire offer, made by Armenia, when it is isolated from both the Western and Eastern worlds, is aimed at avoiding the impending disaster. As soon as Armenia becomes stronger, it will naturally try to fulfill the obligation imposed on it by the Treaty of Sevres to sever our ties with the East, and will also, together with the Greeks, undermine our life and progress. It is impossible that Armenia, which is located at the center of the great Muslim periphery, should with conviction of heart renounce that cruel gendarmerie duty and decide to completely link its fate with Turkey and Islamism. For this reason, it is absolutely necessary that Armenia be politically and physically eliminated from the middle. At the same time, since the realization of this goal depends on the capabilities provided by our power and the favorableness of the general political situation, it is necessary to prepare the important preconditions mentioned above in a coordinated manner. It follows from this that our withdrawal as a result of a simple ceasefire agreement with the Armenians cannot be a subject of discussion. The fundamental clauses of the ceasefire conveyed to the Armenians should be aimed not at withdrawing from Armenia, but at misleading the Armenians and appearing to be peace-loving towards Europe. However, in reality, the result should be the creation of the necessary preconditions for the gradual preparation and maturation of our goal.”

 “At present, it is absolutely necessary to demobilize the Armenian army and confiscate its weapons, thus giving no chance of restoring its military structure. Under the pretext of keeping the railways under control and protecting the rights of the Muslim population, it is necessary to establish our military control over the entire territory of Armenia and thus keep in our hands all the roads connecting Turkey with Azerbaijan. The above-mentioned goal must be achieved in a covert and soft way, both in the text of the peace treaty and in the actions arising from it, on the condition of always appearing peaceful in the eyes of the Armenians.”

 “The acceptance of the principle of a referendum about the border, in the first point of the ceasefire conditions sent to you today for the purpose of handing over to the Armenian government, stems from the desire to hinder the final determination of the borders with Armenia. You can temporarily accept the Brest-Litovsk border line, since the goal is to first obtain a written proposal on the border from the Armenians in this matter and thus prevent the negotiations from reaching a deadlock. However, it is necessary to prepare the ground for a continuous intervention under the pretext of protecting the rights of the Muslim minority remaining on the other side of the border [in Armenia]. Clauses should be included in the agreement that would ensure the seizure of weapons from the enemy [Armenia] and the disarmament of its army as soon as possible. Special efforts should be made to arm the Turks of the region step by step and to create national armed forces. They will connect the East and the West and make Azerbaijan an independent Turkish state.” 


Armenia and geopolitics

Media article
Russian Oligarchs versus NL and Valmet

Media article
Russian Oligarchs versus NL and Valmet

Risk and threat assessment

Russian Oligarchs

Media article
Russian Oligarchs versus NL and Valmet

Media article
Russian Oligarchs versus NL and Valmet

Risk and threat assessment
Russian Oligarchs NGOs and foreign influence / disinformation

Media article
Armenia and Azerbeidjan 

Media article
Armenia and Azerbeidjan 

Media article
Armenia and Azerbeidjan 

Media article
Armenia and Azerbeidjan 

Media article
Armenia and Azerbeidjan 

Media article
Armenia and Azerbeidjan 


  

Because we're experienced, reliable, and focused on results, we've the privilege of working with a host of high-profile clients. 

Our firm has worked with a broad range of clients, from both the public and private sectors, within the global areas:

Russian Federation

Maghreb

Middle East

South Caucasus

Horn of Africa